WildfireRiskFinder

Centreville, VA

Centreville, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers

Moderate
23rdpercentile nationally

USFS scores Centreville at the 23rd national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range), a figure built from 10,870 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Centreville at the 23rd percentile, close to its 23rd-percentile risk score.

Where Centreville's buildings actually sit

10,870Total buildings
19.5%Direct exposure
46%Indirect exposure
34.5%Minimal exposure

Indirect exposure is dominant in Centreville (46% of 10,870 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 19.5% sit in the Direct zone. At 10,870 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.

Where Centreville ranks

There's little gap between Centreville's 23rd national percentile and its 13th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Centreville ranks 24,409 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,458 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 593 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.

What this risk score means for insurance

Centreville's moderate wildfire rating (23rd percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.

Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it

With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Centreville (46% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.

Where Centreville's figures come from

The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 10,870 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Centreville. The exposure-zones guide covers what Centreville's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.