Central Heights-Midland City, AZ
Central Heights-Midland City, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Central Heights-Midland City at the 95th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 1,452 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Central Heights-Midland City's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 94th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 84.6% of Central Heights-Midland City's 1,452 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 15.4% Direct and 0% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Central Heights-Midland City against the rest of the country
Central Heights-Midland City ranks lower within Arizona (76th percentile statewide) than its 95th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Central Heights-Midland City ranks 1,436 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 9,383 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 107 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Central Heights-Midland City
Central Heights-Midland City's very high rating (95th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Central Heights-Midland City's 84.6% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Central Heights-Midland City's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,452 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Central Heights-Midland City. The exposure-zones guide covers what Central Heights-Midland City's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.