Centennial Park, AZ
Centennial Park, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Centennial Park's 388 buildings earn a 77th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Centennial Park at the 73rd national percentile — 4 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Indirect exposure is dominant in Centennial Park (65.7% of 388 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 34.3% sit in the Direct zone.
Where Centennial Park ranks
Centennial Park's 77th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 38th ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 39 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Centennial Park ranks 7,271 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,439 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 273 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Centennial Park's high rating (77th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Centennial Park
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Centennial Park (65.7% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Centennial Park's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 388 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Centennial Park. The exposure-zones guide covers what Centennial Park's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.