Casa Grande, AZ
Casa Grande wildfire risk explained
Casa Grande's 23,535 buildings earn a 71st-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Casa Grande at the 74th percentile, close to its 71st-percentile risk score.
Where Casa Grande's buildings actually sit
Only 14.8% of Casa Grande's 23,535 buildings carry Direct exposure and 42.3% carry Indirect; the remaining 42.9% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure. At 23,535 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Casa Grande ranks
Casa Grande's 71st national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 34th ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 37 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Casa Grande ranks 9,129 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 551 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 293 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Casa Grande
At the 71st percentile nationally, Casa Grande carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Even with 42.9% of Casa Grande outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
Where Casa Grande's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Casa Grande's 9,129-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Casa Grande's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.