Carthage, AR
Carthage, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS scores Carthage at the 57th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (modestly above the national average for wildfire risk), a figure built from 187 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Carthage's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 58th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
187 buildings are counted in Carthage, and 58.3% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 41.7% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
Where Carthage ranks
Carthage's 57th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 36th ranking inside Arkansas does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 20 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Carthage ranks 13,574 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 25,341 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 391 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Carthage and the insurance market
Carthage's elevated rating (57th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because 58.3% of Carthage's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Carthage's 57th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Carthage, see the exposure-zones guide.