Carrizo Springs, TX
How exposed is Carrizo Springs to wildfire?
Carrizo Springs's 2,633 buildings earn a 76th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Carrizo Springs at the 73rd national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Carrizo Springs's buildings actually sit
Most of Carrizo Springs's buildings (77.5%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
Carrizo Springs against the rest of the country
Carrizo Springs's 76th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 49th ranking inside Texas does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 27 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Carrizo Springs ranks 7,540 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 6,047 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 905 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Carrizo Springs and the insurance market
At the 76th percentile nationally, Carrizo Springs carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 77.5% of Carrizo Springs's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Carrizo Springs's 76th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Carrizo Springs, see the exposure-zones guide.