Carrington, ND
Carrington wildfire risk explained
Carrington's 1,479 buildings earn a 52nd-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Carrington at the 51st national percentile — 0 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
1,479 buildings are counted in Carrington, and 47.2% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 12% in Direct exposure or the 40.8% rated Minimal.
How Carrington compares
Carrington's risk sits at a similar level relative to North Dakota (56th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (52nd) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Carrington ranks 15,299 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 9,259 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 177 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.
Carrington and the insurance market
Carrington's elevated wildfire rating (52nd percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Hardening a home in Carrington
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Carrington (47.2% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Carrington's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Carrington's 15,299-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Carrington's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.