Carlsbad, TX
Carlsbad, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Out of every US place USFS scores, Carlsbad lands at the 94th percentile for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a figure built from its 446 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Carlsbad at the 95th national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Carlsbad's building exposure, zone by zone
446 buildings are counted in Carlsbad, and 70% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 30% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
Where Carlsbad ranks
There's little gap between Carlsbad's 94th national percentile and its 94th percentile inside Texas, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Carlsbad ranks 1,773 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 18,357 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 107 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Carlsbad
Carlsbad's 94th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 70% of Carlsbad's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Carlsbad's 94th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Carlsbad, see the exposure-zones guide.