Carl Junction, MO
Carl Junction wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Carl Junction at the 62nd national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 3,590 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Carl Junction at the 64th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 53.8% of Carl Junction's 3,590 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 42% Direct and 4.2% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Carl Junction against the rest of the country
There's little gap between Carl Junction's 62nd national percentile and its 62nd percentile inside Missouri, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Carl Junction ranks 11,856 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 4,666 by building count (1 is largest). Within Missouri alone, it ranks 407 of 1,062 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Missouri on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Carl Junction
Carl Junction's high rating (62nd percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Carl Junction
Carl Junction's 53.8% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Carl Junction's 11,856-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Carl Junction, see the exposure-zones guide.