Canyon Day, AZ
How exposed is Canyon Day to wildfire?
Canyon Day's 477 buildings earn a 96th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Canyon Day at the 94th national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Canyon Day's buildings actually sit
97.7% of Canyon Day's 477 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 466 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 2.3% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
Canyon Day against the rest of the country
Canyon Day's 96th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 78th ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 18 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Canyon Day ranks 1,217 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 17,756 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 96 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Canyon Day and the insurance market
Canyon Day's very high rating (96th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Canyon Day
Canyon Day's 97.7% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Canyon Day's figures come from
Canyon Day's 96th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Canyon Day's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.