Burnsville, MN
Burnsville, MN's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Burnsville's 16,092 buildings earn a 48th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Burnsville at the 43rd percentile, close to its 48th-percentile risk score.
Where Burnsville's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 73.7% of Burnsville's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 13.9% Direct and 12.4% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one. At 16,092 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Burnsville compares
Within Minnesota, Burnsville ranks higher (71st percentile) than it does nationally (48th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Burnsville ranks 16,387 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 905 by building count (1 is largest). Within Minnesota alone, it ranks 266 of 914 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Minnesota on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Burnsville
At the 48th national percentile, Burnsville rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Burnsville's 73.7% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Burnsville's figures come from
Burnsville's 48th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Burnsville's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.