Buckeye, AZ
Buckeye, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Buckeye sits at the 79th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 32,168 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Buckeye's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 76th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 59.2% of Buckeye's 32,168 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 20.9% Direct and 19.9% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to. At 32,168 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Buckeye compares
Buckeye's 79th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 42nd ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 37 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Buckeye ranks 6,640 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 343 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 256 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Buckeye
Buckeye's 79th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Buckeye (59.2% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
More on how this number was built
Buckeye's 79th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Buckeye, see the exposure-zones guide.