Bryce, AZ
Bryce, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Bryce at the 81st national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 90 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Bryce at the 79th national percentile — 1 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Bryce's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS classifies 50% of Bryce's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 50% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 45 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Bryce against the rest of the country
Bryce's 81st national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 45th ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 36 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Bryce ranks 6,133 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 29,483 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 245 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Bryce's 81st-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Hardening a home in Bryce
Bryce's 50% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 90 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Bryce. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Bryce, see the exposure-zones guide.