Blackwater, AZ
Blackwater, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Blackwater at the 77th national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 502 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Blackwater at the 79th percentile, close to its 77th-percentile risk score.
Blackwater's building exposure, zone by zone
502 buildings are counted in Blackwater, and 86.3% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
How Blackwater compares
Blackwater ranks lower within Arizona (38th percentile statewide) than its 77th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Blackwater ranks 7,300 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 17,304 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 274 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 77th percentile nationally, Blackwater carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
With 86.3% of Blackwater in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Blackwater's 7,300-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Blackwater, see the exposure-zones guide.