Black Springs, AR
Black Springs, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Black Springs's 87 buildings earn a 80th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Black Springs at the 83rd national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Black Springs's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS classifies 100% of Black Springs's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 0% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 87 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
How Black Springs compares
There's little gap between Black Springs's 80th national percentile and its 81st percentile inside Arkansas, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Black Springs ranks 6,356 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 29,605 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 119 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Black Springs and the insurance market
Black Springs's 80th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Black Springs's 100% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Black Springs's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Black Springs's 6,356-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Black Springs's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.