Bethpage, TN
Bethpage wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Bethpage at the 29th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 261 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Bethpage at the 32nd national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Direct exposure dominates in Bethpage: 100% of its 261 buildings, versus 0% Indirect and 0% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
How Bethpage compares
Bethpage scores 29th nationally and 17th within Tennessee — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Bethpage ranks 22,264 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,810 by building count (1 is largest). Within Tennessee alone, it ranks 414 of 502 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Tennessee on its state page.
Bethpage and the insurance market
At the 29th national percentile, Bethpage rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Bethpage (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Bethpage's figures come from
Bethpage's 29th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Bethpage's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.