Belvedere, CA
Belvedere, CA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Belvedere at the 68th national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 1,124 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Belvedere at the 67th percentile, close to its 68th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
94% of Belvedere's 1,124 buildings sit in USFS's Minimal exposure zone, with only 6.1% rated Direct — risk here comes from regional burn probability more than proximity to burnable vegetation at the structure itself.
How Belvedere compares
Belvedere's 68th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 25th ranking inside California does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 43 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Belvedere ranks 10,107 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,120 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 1,176 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Belvedere
Belvedere sits in California, one of two states that legally require a wildfire-risk disclosure at sale. California's FAIR Plan, the state's insurer of last resort, ended 2025 with 668,609 residential policies after adding 21,859 in Q4 alone — the kind of market shift a 68th-percentile score like Belvedere's can end up mattering for. More on the disclosure law.
Hardening a home in Belvedere
With 94% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Belvedere gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
Belvedere's 68th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Belvedere, see the exposure-zones guide.