Bailey's Prairie, TX
Bailey's Prairie wildfire risk explained
Bailey's Prairie's 555 buildings earn a 86th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Bailey's Prairie's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 89th percentile nationally.
Where Bailey's Prairie's buildings actually sit
Direct exposure dominates in Bailey's Prairie: 100% of its 555 buildings, versus 0% Indirect and 0% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
How Bailey's Prairie compares
Bailey's Prairie's risk sits at a similar level relative to Texas (74th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (86th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Bailey's Prairie ranks 4,583 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,510 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 459 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Bailey's Prairie
Bailey's Prairie's very high rating (86th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Bailey's Prairie
Because Direct exposure dominates in Bailey's Prairie (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Bailey's Prairie's figures come from
Bailey's Prairie's 86th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Bailey's Prairie's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.