Bailey's Crossroads, VA
How exposed is Bailey's Crossroads to wildfire?
Bailey's Crossroads sits at the 11th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 2,024 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Bailey's Crossroads at the 12th percentile, close to its 11th-percentile risk score.
Where Bailey's Crossroads's buildings actually sit
Most of Bailey's Crossroads's buildings (80.7% of 2,024) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure.
Bailey's Crossroads against the rest of the country
Bailey's Crossroads scores 11th nationally and 2nd within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Bailey's Crossroads ranks 28,127 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,406 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 665 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Bailey's Crossroads and the insurance market
Bailey's Crossroads's low rating (11th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Bailey's Crossroads's 80.7% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Bailey's Crossroads's 28,127-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Bailey's Crossroads, see the exposure-zones guide.