Avondale, MO
Avondale, MO's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Avondale at the 58th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 268 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Avondale at the 61st national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Avondale rates 92.9% Minimal exposure against just 7.1% Direct and 0% Indirect — of 268 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually.
How Avondale compares
Avondale scores 58th nationally and 50th within Missouri — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Avondale ranks 13,273 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,569 by building count (1 is largest). Within Missouri alone, it ranks 532 of 1,062 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Missouri on its state page.
Avondale and the insurance market
Avondale's elevated wildfire rating (58th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Avondale's 92.9% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Avondale's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Avondale's 13,273-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Avondale's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.