Avon, MN
Avon, MN's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Avon sits at the 64th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 783 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Avon at the 63rd percentile, close to its 64th-percentile risk score.
Where Avon's buildings actually sit
Indirect exposure is dominant in Avon (76.6% of 783 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 21.7% sit in the Direct zone.
Where Avon ranks
Within Minnesota, Avon ranks higher (89th percentile) than it does nationally (64th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Avon ranks 11,310 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 13,787 by building count (1 is largest). Within Minnesota alone, it ranks 99 of 914 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Minnesota on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Avon's high rating (64th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Avon's 76.6% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Avon's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Avon's 11,310-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Avon's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.