Au Sable, MI
Au Sable, MI's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Au Sable sits at the 61st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,002 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Au Sable at the 59th national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Au Sable's buildings actually sit
Indirect exposure is dominant in Au Sable (65.9% of 1,002 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 34.1% sit in the Direct zone.
Au Sable against the rest of the country
Compare Au Sable's two percentiles: 98th within Michigan, only 61st nationally — a gap of 37 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Au Sable ranks 12,191 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,919 by building count (1 is largest). Within Michigan alone, it ranks 16 of 745 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Michigan on its state page.
Au Sable and the insurance market
Au Sable's high rating (61st percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Au Sable
Because 65.9% of Au Sable's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Au Sable's 61st-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Au Sable, see the exposure-zones guide.