Au Sable Forks, NY
Au Sable Forks wildfire risk explained
Au Sable Forks sits at the 21st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 345 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Au Sable Forks at the 22nd percentile, close to its 21st-percentile risk score.
Where Au Sable Forks's buildings actually sit
345 buildings are counted in Au Sable Forks, and 64.6% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
Where Au Sable Forks ranks
Within New York, Au Sable Forks ranks higher (46th percentile) than it does nationally (21st) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Au Sable Forks ranks 24,935 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 20,455 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 697 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Au Sable Forks
At the 21st national percentile, Au Sable Forks rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 64.6% of Au Sable Forks in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
Where Au Sable Forks's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 345 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Au Sable Forks. The exposure-zones guide covers what Au Sable Forks's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.