Ashburn, VA
How exposed is Ashburn to wildfire?
Ashburn's 8,042 buildings earn a 13th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Ashburn at the 12th percentile, close to its 13th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Ashburn rates 79.3% Minimal exposure against just 13.4% Direct and 7.3% Indirect — of 8,042 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 8,042 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Ashburn compares
Ashburn scores 13th nationally and 3rd within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Ashburn ranks 27,594 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,096 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 658 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Ashburn
Ashburn's low wildfire rating (13th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Even with 79.3% of Ashburn outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Ashburn's 27,594-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Ashburn, see the exposure-zones guide.