Arrowhead Springs, WY
Arrowhead Springs, WY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Arrowhead Springs sits at the 78th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 51 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Arrowhead Springs at the 71st national percentile — 7 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Arrowhead Springs's buildings actually sit
Of Arrowhead Springs's 51 counted buildings, 100% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first.
Arrowhead Springs against the rest of the country
Arrowhead Springs's 78th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 45th ranking inside Wyoming does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 33 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Arrowhead Springs ranks 6,982 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 30,921 by building count (1 is largest). Within Wyoming alone, it ranks 107 of 192 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Wyoming on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Arrowhead Springs's 78th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Arrowhead Springs (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Arrowhead Springs's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Arrowhead Springs's 6,982-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Arrowhead Springs's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.