Arrington, VA
How exposed is Arrington to wildfire?
USFS scores Arrington at the 60th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (modestly above the national average for wildfire risk), a figure built from 424 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Arrington's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 61st percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Direct exposure dominates in Arrington: 96.7% of its 424 buildings, versus 2.8% Indirect and 0.5% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
How Arrington compares
There's little gap between Arrington's 60th national percentile and its 67th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Arrington ranks 12,747 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 18,769 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 229 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 60th national percentile, Arrington rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Arrington
Because Direct exposure dominates in Arrington (96.7%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Arrington's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 424 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Arrington. The exposure-zones guide covers what Arrington's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.