Aransas Pass, TX
Aransas Pass, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Aransas Pass at the 82nd national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 4,721 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Aransas Pass's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 81st percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Only 21.3% of Aransas Pass's 4,721 buildings carry Direct exposure and 7.6% carry Indirect; the remaining 71.1% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure.
How Aransas Pass compares
Aransas Pass's risk sits at a similar level relative to Texas (67th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (82nd) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Aransas Pass ranks 5,561 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 3,614 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 586 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Aransas Pass's 82nd-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Even with 71.1% of Aransas Pass outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
Where Aransas Pass's figures come from
Aransas Pass's 82nd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Aransas Pass's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.