Antelope, CA
Antelope wildfire risk explained
Antelope sits at the 80th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 13,569 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Antelope at the 82nd national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Antelope rates 56.2% Minimal exposure against just 3.6% Direct and 40.2% Indirect — of 13,569 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 13,569 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Antelope against the rest of the country
Antelope's 80th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 41st ranking inside California does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 40 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Antelope ranks 6,166 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,115 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 927 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Antelope and the insurance market
Antelope sits in California, one of two states that legally require a wildfire-risk disclosure at sale. California's FAIR Plan, the state's insurer of last resort, ended 2025 with 668,609 residential policies after adding 21,859 in Q4 alone — the kind of market shift a 80th-percentile score like Antelope's can end up mattering for. More on the disclosure law.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Antelope's 56.2% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Antelope's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 13,569 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Antelope. The exposure-zones guide covers what Antelope's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.