Alice Acres, TX
Alice Acres, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Alice Acres's 282 buildings earn a 71st-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Alice Acres at the 71st national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
96.8% of Alice Acres's 282 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 273 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 3.2% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
How Alice Acres compares
Alice Acres's 71st national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 32nd ranking inside Texas does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 38 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Alice Acres ranks 9,310 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,138 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 1,215 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Alice Acres and the insurance market
Alice Acres's 71st-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 96.8% of Alice Acres in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 282 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Alice Acres. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Alice Acres, see the exposure-zones guide.