Alderwood Manor, WA
How exposed is Alderwood Manor to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Alderwood Manor at the 5th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 3,014 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Alderwood Manor at the 6th national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Most of Alderwood Manor's buildings (92.7% of 3,014) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure.
Where Alderwood Manor ranks
There's little gap between Alderwood Manor's 5th national percentile and its 1st percentile inside Washington, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Alderwood Manor ranks 29,895 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 5,413 by building count (1 is largest). Within Washington alone, it ranks 620 of 628 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Washington on its state page.
Alderwood Manor and the insurance market
Alderwood Manor's low wildfire rating (5th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Alderwood Manor's 92.7% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Alderwood Manor's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 3,014 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Alderwood Manor. The exposure-zones guide covers what Alderwood Manor's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.