Afton, NY
Afton, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Afton at the 17th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 572 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Afton's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 17th percentile nationally.
Where Afton's buildings actually sit
59.3% of Afton's 572 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 339 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 40.7% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
Afton against the rest of the country
Within New York, Afton ranks higher (39th percentile) than it does nationally (17th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Afton ranks 26,192 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 16,217 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 780 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Afton
At the 17th national percentile, Afton rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Afton
Because Direct exposure dominates in Afton (59.3%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 572 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Afton. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Afton, see the exposure-zones guide.