Abercrombie, ND
Abercrombie wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Abercrombie at the 27th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 223 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Abercrombie at the 25th national percentile — 3 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Only 19.3% of Abercrombie's 223 buildings carry Direct exposure and 0% carry Indirect; the remaining 80.7% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure.
Where Abercrombie ranks
Abercrombie ranks lower within North Dakota (10th percentile statewide) than its 27th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Abercrombie ranks 22,984 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 24,022 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 362 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.
Abercrombie and the insurance market
Abercrombie's moderate wildfire rating (27th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Even with 80.7% of Abercrombie outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 223 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Abercrombie. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Abercrombie, see the exposure-zones guide.