Elfin Cove, AK
Elfin Cove, AK's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Elfin Cove at the 8th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 20 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Elfin Cove's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 9th percentile nationally.
Where Elfin Cove's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 100% of Elfin Cove's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 0% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 20 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most. This is a small settlement by building count — 20 total — so these shares describe a handful of structures, not a statistical average across thousands.
Where Elfin Cove ranks
There's little gap between Elfin Cove's 8th national percentile and its 11th percentile inside Alaska, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Elfin Cove ranks 28,890 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 31,459 by building count (1 is largest). Within Alaska alone, it ranks 286 of 322 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Alaska on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Elfin Cove
At the 8th national percentile, Elfin Cove rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Elfin Cove's 100% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Elfin Cove's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Elfin Cove's 28,890-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. Small places like Elfin Cove (20 buildings) are exactly where USFS's underlying data gets sparsest — see the data-quality guide for the 517 places that didn't clear the bar.