Conway, ND
Conway wildfire risk explained
Conway's 24 buildings earn a 35th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Conway at the 34th percentile, close to its 35th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
24 buildings are counted in Conway, and 100% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal. This is a small settlement by building count — 24 total — so these shares describe a handful of structures, not a statistical average across thousands.
Conway against the rest of the country
Inside North Dakota, Conway sits at just the 18th percentile even though it scores 35th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Conway ranks 20,365 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 31,429 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 332 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 35th national percentile, Conway rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Conway (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Conway's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 24 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Conway. Small places like Conway (24 buildings) are exactly where USFS's underlying data gets sparsest — see the data-quality guide for the 517 places that didn't clear the bar.